Portugal's police expect a record year for removals (and most people are leaving voluntarily)
PSP says more than 1,000 migrants will be removed by the end of 2026, possibly an all-time high. In its border unit's first year, 1,732 returns were voluntary and 221 forced, against 23,133 orders to leave issued in 2025.
Portugal’s public security police, the PSP, expects to remove “well over a thousand” migrants from the country by the end of 2026, and says this could turn out to be the year with the most removals on record. The estimate came from the force itself, in a response published on Tuesday. Since August last year it has been the body in charge of checking foreigners’ status and carrying out returns.
The headline number needs one piece of context. In most cases, “removal” does not mean an escorted flight.
Most returns are voluntary
The first-year figures for the PSP’s foreigners and borders unit (UNEF), covering 21 August 2025 to 31 July 2026, show the pattern clearly. There were 1,732 voluntary returns and 221 forced ones, 83 of them with a police escort all the way to the destination. Roughly 89% of the people who left did so of their own accord.
Of those 1,732 voluntary departures, 995 took place in the first seven months of 2026. That pace is what makes “more than a thousand by December” a realistic forecast rather than a stretch.
Over the same year the unit ran 5,397 inspection operations covering 52,421 foreign nationals. It found 1,117 people without valid status (2.1%), arrested 285 for unlawful stay, served 831 orders to leave voluntarily and opened 720 forced-removal cases, of which 262 had been decided.
The gap nobody has measured yet
A month ago we reported that Portugal told 23,133 foreigners to leave in 2025, up from 446 the year before. That figure comes from AIMA’s 2025 Migration and Asylum Report and mostly predates the handover of enforcement to the PSP.
You can’t divide one number by the other, since they come from different bodies and different periods. Side by side, though, they show the scale. Tens of thousands were told to go. Confirmed departures logged by the police run to a few hundred a quarter. How many of the 23,133 are still in Portugal with an expired deadline is a figure no agency has published.
Why voluntary dominates
A voluntary return is cheaper and faster than a forced removal, which needs a case file, a decision, often a court appeal and an escorted flight. The PSP has said that is where it puts its effort, and year one bears that out.
If you are in Portugal on an expired permit or after a refusal, the practical point is simple. An order to leave comes with a deadline to go on your own terms, and that window is when voluntary return is still on offer. Once it closes, the route becomes the forced-removal process.
Graphic: Tugadaily · PSP data